South Alabama
University of South Alabama · 2026 · Sun Belt
South Alabama is 1-1 and ranked 90th in overall efficiency. Their 68th-ranked offense is the engine, backed by a 106th-ranked defense. They run the ball on 60% of offensive plays with an 86th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 40% of plays with a 71st-ranked passing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs SE Louisiana | Southland | — | W 39–14 | +27.8 | 100% | -8.7 | Q4 |
| 2 | @ Tulane | American Athletic | #74 | L 24–28 | -6.0 | 0% | -3.7 | Q3 |
| 3 | vs Ohio | Mid-American | #98 | Preview | +4.0 | 59% | — | Q4 |
| 4 | @ Kentucky | SEC | #55 | Preview | -13.0 | 22% | — | Q2 |
| 5 | vs ULM | Sun Belt | #134 | Preview | +18.2 | 86% | — | Q4 |
| 6 | @ Arkansas State | Sun Belt | #109 | Preview | +1.7 | 54% | — | Q4 |
| 8 | @ Marshall | Sun Belt | #103 | Preview | +0.9 | 52% | — | Q4 |
| 9 | vs Louisiana Tech | Sun Belt | #66 | Preview | -1.7 | 46% | — | Q4 |
| 10 | @ Louisiana | Sun Belt | #73 | Preview | -6.0 | 36% | — | Q3 |
| 11 | vs Troy | Sun Belt | #110 | Preview | +7.4 | 67% | — | Q4 |
| 12 | @ Southern Miss | Sun Belt | #86 | Preview | -3.9 | 41% | — | Q3 |
| 13 | vs Appalachian State | Sun Belt | #84 | Preview | +1.1 | 53% | — | Q4 |
2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on South Alabama, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 58th · Finishing 72nd
Field position 64th · Finishing 109th
2.90 points per drive on offense, 2.10 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(40) | 45% / 55% | 53% | 7.3 |
| Q2(41) | 41% / 59% | 34% | 3.5 |
| Q3(39) | 41% / 59% | 46% | 7.2 |
| Q4(36) | 28% / 72% | 47% | 4.8 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(22) | 10.9 | 50% | 8.6 |
| 2nd(23) | 9.3 | 39% | 5.7 |
| 3rd(13) | 8.8 | 46% | 8.7 |
| 4th(3) | 6.0 | 33% | 1.3 |
| All (61) | — | 44% | 7.2 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(44) | 9.9 | 41% | 4.7 |
| 2nd(28) | 8.0 | 43% | 4.6 |
| 3rd(19) | 5.4 | 58% | 6.2 |
| 4th(4) | 2.0 | 50% | -0.3 |
| All (95) | — | 45% | 4.8 |
South Alabama, all games.